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El Niño Update

leah kirk

It seems that ocean surface temperatures aren’t pointing toward a favorable El Nino this coming winter, which could have a significant impact on the weather in the Great Lakes region. El Nino is a condition where a band of warm ocean water develops in the Pacific, right along the Equator.

El Niño is characterized by unusually warm ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific, as opposed to La Niña, which is characterized by unusually cold ocean temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific. El Niño is an oscillation of the ocean-atmosphere system in the tropical Pacific having important consequences for weather around the globe.  Locally speaking among these consequences are increased rainfall across the southern tier of the US.

Thus far reports reveal that things aren’t exactly adding up for strong El Niño conditions this season, and that means a brutally cold winter could be lurking in the coming months. Take a look at the snapshot from NOAA below, and you’ll notice the cooler temperatures being reported out of the southeast Pacific:

If this pattern continues, you can pretty much kiss the chances of a much anticipated El Niño goodbye. This winter and next summer is likely to colder and wetter (in the South) than usual; good news for southern trout fishing.